Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Advanced decision practice for situations with incomplete information and real consequences.
Course overview
This advanced course focuses specifically on high-stakes, low-information decisions — the kind that cannot wait for complete data. Through live simulations built from real organizational scenarios, you will practice deciding well when certainty isn't available.
What you’ll learn
- Make defensible decisions with incomplete information
- Calibrate confidence honestly instead of performing certainty
- Communicate a high-stakes decision to a skeptical audience
- Recover credibly from a decision that turns out wrong
Curriculum
5 chapters · 13 lessons · 5h 45m
Deciding without waiting for certainty.
- Why waiting for certainty is itself a decision16m
- Calibrating confidence honestly17m
Structuring high-stakes, low-information decisions.
- A framework for irreversible decisions19m
- Live session: high-stakes case walkthrough50m
Communicating under scrutiny.
- Presenting a decision to a skeptical audience17m
- Live session: skeptical-panel simulation55m
Recovering credibly when a decision goes wrong.
- Owning a wrong decision without losing authority16m
- Rebuilding team confidence after a misstep15m
- Live session: recovery-scenario workshop45m
Navigate a full high-stakes simulation live.
- Project brief: an unfolding operational crisis8m
- Live session: final crisis simulation50m
Requirements
- Completion of Leadership & Decision Making or equivalent experience
- Availability for live advanced simulation sessions
Who this is for
- Experienced leaders facing high-stakes ambiguous decisions
- Operators responsible for crisis or incident response
- Senior leads mentoring others through difficult calls
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